União Madeira vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 4
UNM
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 1
VIZ
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
FAM
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
COV
1 - 1
UNM
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 3
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |