União Madeira vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FEI
3 - 3
UNM
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
27%
28%
46%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 0
UNM
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
VAR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
6%
15%
79%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |