União Madeira vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
GFC
2 - 0
UNM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
UNM
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNM
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
UNM
2 - 0
PAÇ
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 0
UNM
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
MAI
3 - 2
VAR
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 4
GFC
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |