União Madeira vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 1
MAR
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
UNM
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UNM
4 - 2
VSC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 2
BEL
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 1
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 3
BEN
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 0
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |