União Madeira vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
UNM
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
PED
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TIR
1 - 0
SMA
26%
27%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
TIR
1 - 0
FAF
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIZ
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
SOB
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
TIR
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |