União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNM
3 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
UNM
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
BEL
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 2
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 2
OLI
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |