União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UNM
0 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
UNM
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
UNM
3 - 3
FCM
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 0
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 3
PEN
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
OVA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |