União Madeira vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
5 - 0
UNM
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
OSL
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PED
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |