União Madeira vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACV
1 - 3
UNM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
ADN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 3
LUS
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 1
UDL
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |