União Madeira vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VST
2 - 2
UNM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 3
UNM
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
SPB
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
UNM
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
UNM
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
FCP
0 - 2
DYN
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 2
FCP
3%
12%
86%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
MTA
1 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |