União Madeira vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 1
UNM
7%
14%
79%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 2
UNM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNM
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 2
OLH
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 2
FAF
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |