Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 1-2
União Madeira vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 1
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 2
BEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
UNM
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
UNM
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 1
SCF
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
PAÇ
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
OLH
2 - 1
EST
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
BMA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BMA
1 - 3
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |