União Madeira vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 1
UNM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UNM
3 - 2
MAI
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VST
0 - 0
UNM
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UNM
3 - 1
FCM
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
UNM
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
POR
0 - 1
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
FEI
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |