União Madeira vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
UNM
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
RIO
4 - 1
ESP
85%
13%
3%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
ESP
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 3
ESP
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |