União Madeira vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAÇ
6 - 0
UNM
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 0
TON
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VST
2 - 2
UNM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 3
UNM
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VST
2 - 4
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SLB
1 - 2
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
AST
2 - 2
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |