União Madeira vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AMA
4 - 0
PED
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 2
LEC
40%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
AMA
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 0
TRO
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |