Uniao Luziense vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Luziense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 1
ULU
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
ULU
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ULU
0 - 1
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
UBE
3 - 0
ULU
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | -8 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ULU
1 - 1
VAL
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
DEM
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BET
2 - 0
DEM
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
1 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAM
2 - 2
DEM
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |