Uniao Luziense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Luziense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
AMF
5 - 0
ULU
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ULU
2 - 1
FEC
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | +5 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
ULU
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ULU
1 - 2
UBE
19%
24%
57%
|
13 | 61 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CAL
4 - 0
IPA
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
ECI
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PDC
0 - 2
CAL
22%
24%
55%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |