União de Leiria vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALV
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 4
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
ANA
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
UDL
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FAT
3 - 2
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ANA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 4
ANA
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
7%
18%
76%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
IRI
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UFT
0 - 3
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |