União de Leiria vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
2 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
UDL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UDL
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 0
UDL
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNM
2 - 0
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UNM
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +10 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
UNM
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UNM
1 - 3
PEN
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |