União de Leiria vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 1
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
UDL
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
UDL
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SCP
8 - 0
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
VIZ
2 - 5
SCP
15%
22%
64%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 3
SCP
15%
22%
64%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
SCP
4 - 0
TON
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |