União de Leiria vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
UDL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
ANG
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 1
BEN
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |