União de Leiria vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
UDL
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
NAV
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
UDL
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 5
BEN
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |