União de Leiria vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 0
PIN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
BEN
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORI
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 3
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |