União de Leiria vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
UDL
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
IRI
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |