União de Leiria vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
UDL
18%
22%
61%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 2
ELE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
UDL
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
TOR
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 3
UDL
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 3
SER
27%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |