União de Leiria vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 0
PIN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAF
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 3
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |