União de Leiria vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 2
UDL
21%
23%
57%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
MAF
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
UDL
20%
25%
56%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SER
4 - 2
RIB
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |