Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-0
União de Leiria vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 0
UDL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 1
YAR
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 4
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 0
BOA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
1 - 3
GRA
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 0
UDL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
BVB
1 - 2
SWB
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
AWM
3 - 0
SWB
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 1
BVB
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |