União de Leiria vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 1
UDL
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
UDL
4 - 2
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 2
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 4
VST
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |