União de Leiria vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
UDL
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
UDL
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UFT
0 - 7
UDL
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
1 - 2
NAV
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
NAV
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 3
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |