União de Leiria vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
7º
2º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
GDF
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 0
AMO
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
AMO
19%
26%
55%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
REA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |