União de Leiria vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 0
GAF
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 3
AVE
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
UDL
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 3
MAR
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAV
1 - 5
MAR
21%
21%
59%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLE
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |