União de Leiria vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 0
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 0
UDL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
UDL
2 - 1
YAR
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 4
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
LIL
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
AUX
33%
30%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |