União de Leiria vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UDL
7 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 2
ELE
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 0
FAT
56%
24%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |