União de Leiria vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAF
3 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 1
UDL
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEN
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
26%
25%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
FAT
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
FAT
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FAT
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |