União de Leiria vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
VST
2 - 1
UDL
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 1
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 1
VST
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 0
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 3
VST
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 1
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 3
ESA
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
VST
0 - 0
ESA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |