União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
7º
2º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 4
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 4
BEL
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AMO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 4
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SLB
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 89 | 47 | +1 |