União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
UDL
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
RDA
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 2
UDL
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BMA
1 - 0
UDL
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
PRA
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 3
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
RDA
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |