União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |