União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 1
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDL
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 1
UDL
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |