União de Leiria vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
UDL
2 - 2
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SPB
1 - 0
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
UDL
2 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 3
SLB
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 2
SLB
5%
15%
81%
|
87 | 38 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |