Liga 3 Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 2-3
União de Leiria vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VST
1 - 2
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
OLI
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
VST
27%
26%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
FEL
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 0
ALV
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALV
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FEL
3 - 2
ALV
29%
27%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |