União de Leiria U15 vs Tondela U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
6º
3º
39
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 5
UDL
20%
21%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
1 - 1
UDL
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 3
UDL
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
UDL
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 0
SAN
55%
20%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
LEM
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
TON
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TON
4 - 0
BEN
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TBR
2 - 1
TON
39%
22%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |