União de Leiria U15 vs Marialvas U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
6º
3º
28
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 3
UDL
18%
20%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 3
TON
38%
22%
41%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 5
UDL
20%
21%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
1 - 1
UDL
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 3
UDL
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marialvas U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MRV
3 - 1
LEM
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
MRV
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MRV
0 - 6
ACA
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 0
FAT
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 5
MRV
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |