União de Leiria U15 vs Cd Fátima U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
6º
3º
22
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
UDL
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
MAR
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 2
UDL
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
MRV
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 3
UDL
18%
20%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cd Fátima U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 3
FAT
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
3 - 1
LEM
48%
22%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 3
TON
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
FAT
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 0
BEN
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |