União de Coimbra vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
14º
5º
25
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
COI
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
COI
1 - 2
RAB
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
LUS
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 3
VIA
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 1
GDF
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |