União de Coimbra vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
14º
5º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
COI
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
COI
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COI
2 - 1
GOU
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FAV
1 - 1
COI
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
COI
0 - 0
CAS
73%
19%
8%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
UFT
20%
20%
61%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UFT
2 - 3
ADP
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UFT
0 - 3
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IDA
1 - 2
UFT
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |