União Chamusca vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Chamusca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UFT
4 - 0
UCH
86%
11%
3%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UCH
0 - 1
BEN
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COR
8 - 0
UCH
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UCH
0 - 1
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
USA
0 - 3
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
EMP
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAZ
2 - 2
CDT
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 0
UFT
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 4
CDT
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |