União Barbarense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
REC
1 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
ITU
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
GUA
4 - 0
UNI
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 2
CEA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
CAX
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
CRB
3 - 2
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRI
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |